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To me, Hillary Clinton looked more exhausted than upset in her emotional moment here in New Hampshire.
But I have to say, of the candidates I have seen performing here the least exhausted has been the 71-year-old Senator John McCain. After his rally in Portsmouth, he looked bright-eyed and ready for the fray: and there is no question that his campaign - like Obama's last week - is feeling bullish.
I asked him how he would match up against Barack Obama but he refused to get into the subject. Fair enough: but this seems to me to be the big issue for McCain. In the absence of another terrorist attack, how does he convince a more relaxed "post war"-feeling nation, that a gritty, elderly man is the right choice? Still ,it would be a huge battle for the independent vote of the United States - the middle ground that both men are capable of attracting - and that might be no bad thing for America.
Meanwhile, my friend Sarah Smith, the able and forthright Washington Correspondent for Britain's Channel Four News, was caught out badly at a Clinton rally the other night. As the photo shows, she put on her fanciest clothes to attend the event, and found that the candidate had made the same choice!
I am sure Sarah is a fighter for women's rights and for Hillary Clinton's right to stand, but she had not previously seen the former First Lady as her fashion guru. Hillary may be re-thinking her life if she loses, but Sarah is already re-thinking her wardrobe...
Arriving in New Hampshire and going straight to the evening Hillary Clinton rally at a school near Manchester, I found myself impressed by flashes of real assertiveness - the kind of assertiveness that convinced many Americans during the course of recent months that she was The Candidate.
An example: a question about Vladimir Putin, the Russian president. President Bush told Americans years ago he had looked into Putin's soul - Hillary was contemptuous: "He was a former KGB man; he had no soul!" Take that, Vlad - plainly Mrs Clinton senses a nostalgia for the Cold War rather than our modern, more complex struggles, and she may be right.
On the other hand, there is something missing: she is competent and tough but she does not inspire. People drifted away from this event and the folks in the overflow hall allowed in to boost the numbers did so too...
Just before leaving Des Moines I have a meeting with two Clinton fund-raisers who had been knocking on doors here to try to get the supporters out: they claim many Barack Obama supporters have doubts about his long-term staying power -- they are in love for the time being but in no illusions about marriage.
But what is the event that ends the affair? A terrorist attack? A new foreign war? An economic recession that requires Mitt Romney's ability to get rich and stay rich? Balloons do not pop of their own accord.
And on the legitimacy of the Caucus process commented on so amusingly here: the same fundraisers (bruised a bit by it all) suggest darkly that the Carter Institute would not deem to cover an election in a foreign country with such restrictive rules.
My question on Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee is how, when America is at war on several fronts, when Pakistan is on the brink, when Kenya is teetering, when the Middle East is, well, the Middle East; how in this case can America seriously contemplate electing one of two men who have zero foreign policy experience?
Perhaps it doesn't matter. Perhaps character trumps all and these are unquestionably two charming able politicians who could rise to the top of any Western political pile. Senator Obama is well advised and former Governor Huckabee could no doubt be schooled. But even soâ?¦
And a thought about Hillary's predicament: is it relevant that Iowa has never elected a woman to Congress or to the Governor's mansion? Only Mississippi has the same record.
Hillary Clinton can come back if anyone can but she must win in New Hampshire. I guess her best way of doing that is getting her supporters to canvas for John McCain, the flinty Republican senator who must use the support of independent voters to win in New Hampshire. If he takes the independents they will not be there to vote for Barack Obama in the Democratic contest. Longshot? It may well be ....
And Mitt Romney the other loser in Iowa: he is embarassed and disabled by his second position. He is in trouble, not yet out but very down.
Met a wonderful Iowan in the hours before the caucuses begin: Glenna Finney runs the John Wayne museum in Winterset, half an hour outside Des Moines.
Mrs Finney, like her hero, is a Republican. She USED to know who she was going to support BUT - incredibly really, given all the fuss there has been - she has recently decided that she is, once again, Undecided!
She is seriously going to go this evening without any clear idea about who she will support - and she says she knows others who are in the same position.
That is the aspect of the caucus process so difficult for foreigners to grasp - that Americans (well, some Americans) care so deeply about their democracy that they are willing to go out in the snow and spend time thrashing it out...
Barack Obama's people, chatted to backstage while the candidate did his last evening rally, seemed genuinely relaxed and cheerful. The fact is that they go to event after event and see enthusiasm and warmth towards the senator - it's a jump ball, they admit, between the three main Democratic candidates - but then they would, as doing well after lowering expectations is what the Iowa game is all about. I think they think he will win big.
Bumped into George Stephanopoulos, who said the Obama campaign reminded him of Clinton in 92: "It is all about YOU the people, doing what you want and giving you the lead and getting your priorities noticed." But Obama also reminds me of Jimmy Carter, in a way - or, indeed, Ronald Reagan or any of the others who have run successful insurgent anti-Washington campaigns; the rhetoric is of the outsider banging at the gates.
Talking of which - I had an enjoyable chat with Ron Paul, who tells me hand on heart that he can win! I cannot decide whether he is a serious candidate or not, but the decision will be made for me (and you) by the caucus-goers of Iowa in a few hours time...
One of the points of Iowa is that candidates get to meet real voters and deal with the complexity of real people and their not always neatly boxable views on all subjects.
An example: Glenn Neideigh who runs the Oak View II hunting club outside Des Moines and has voted in the past for Democrats and Republicans, including once for President Bush.
Turning up at his club to shoot TV footage rather than birds, I walked with him all of 20 yards into a field before a windchill somewhere around 0 Fahrenheit started to cramp our conversation.
But I learned a lot even in that short, freeze-truncated meeting: Glenn is a fan of one of the so-called minor Democrats this time around. He cares about illegal immigration but also about healthcare, he cares about Iraq but does not want a withdrawal that damages America even more. He hates political adverts.
In short, he is a middle-of-the-road thoughtful man: Iowa man.
But here is a problem, he is not going to a caucus.
It is not that he does not care - he really does. Or that he is ignorant of he issues - he certainly is not. But he is busy and just cannot make it that night.
And this caucus system (no postal ballot and a set time to turn up) is inflexible. Perhaps that - rather than the choice of state - is the real scandal of Iowa.
My New Year predictions have been almost entirely wrong for as long as I can remember. Two years ago, I suggested on the BBC Correspondents' Lookahead that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the blogger and Iranian leader, would kiss the cheek of George W Bush on the tarmac at Tehran airport; a year ago, I said Dick Cheney would resign and be replaced by John McCain.
But, like a gambler, I feel the need to press on in the hope of hitting the jackpot.
This year in the lookahead programme, I predicted that John McCain would be elected president in 2008 and that the American brand would be back in vogue, or at least would no longer be so widely regarded as poisonous. The first prediction could, of course, be dead by the end of the first month of 2008 - which would be a record even by my dismal standards - but the second will take all year and maybe leach into 2009 as well.
I predict an improvement in America's worldwide reputation with only moderate confidence (to borrow from the argot of the National Intelligence Estimates) but, if it is to happen at all, I believe it should begin in Iowa this week, where groups of essentially decent, mild, kindly people will begin the process of choosing the 2008 winner.
Iowa is flawed, of course. The candidates are a rum bunch on both sides and the voters (too white, too religious, too old, too extreme, you take your pick) are similarly open to attack, but it is nonetheless worth pausing, I reckon, before it all kicks off, to reflect that in a nation of 300 million people, bristling with military power and at war around the world, managing an orderly transition of power is a majestic enterprise, worthy of ongoing wonderment.
However much the souls of Iowans are eaten away (according to the archbishop's view), I would prefer to be ruled by them than any other group on earth...
The row in full swing here over whether Mike Huckabeemessed up when asked his initial reaction to the news from Pakistan is part of a wider, so far unanswerable, question.
It is this: will the election of 2008 be a "post-war" election? Obviously as a matter of fact it will not be: but, will Americans, hungry for the pleasures of peace, turn it into one?
Plainly the Democrats would benefit from that - and I know some conservatives (James Pinkerton is one) who fear it may be the case. Does Pakistan help the cause of keeping the US focused on the task at hand?
No better example of the importance of momentum in presidential politics than the news (news!) that John McCain is on the ground in Iowa, having spotted sudden opportunities there that did not exist a few weeks ago. Hats off to the slimmed-down McCain team for managing this mini-surge so well.
I have long thought McCain would win the nomination as the other candidates imploded, and the "Huckaboom" plays wonderfully into this; a win for Huckabee in Iowa might well lead Republicans to panic and search for someone who is, well, better capable of winning in 2008 - and a decent showing for the war hero may do the trick.
I wonder if the media's previous love affairs with McCain might be the reason why so many are so unwilling to see the obvious truth now: that he is very much capable of winning. If Barack Obama does badly in Iowa - if the balloon bursts - independents in New Hampshire will flock to McCain (for those outside the US: the New Hampshire rules allow independent voters to choose which party primary to vote in), having no great desire to go for Hillary Clinton, and the nomination will be his.
How odd that the choice of Republican candidate might depend so heavily on the votes of Democrats in Iowa and independents in New Hampshire - but that is one of the wonders of the way things are panning out this season.
The differences between American and British English still confound me even after many years living in the US.
The latest, in a piece I wrote about Kansas evangelicals, is the misuse of the term "Bible basher", which in British English means what "Bible thumper" means in American English.
Some kind correspondents have pointed out that this rather damaged the sense of the piece, at least for US readers!
Hey ho... We keep talking, at least, even if we do not always understand each other.
I am particularly sorry to have messed that one up though, as I like American English. For instance, my children talk about "turning eight" instead of having their eighth birthday: which to me sounds both odd and cute. Or does "cute" mean clever?
Years ago, chatting to the congressman (who is a charming and warm man, one-to-one), he told me he would probably stand in 2008 but that, as he put it, "The job will go to someone with better hair!"
Well, his actions are consistent with that belief...
Mitt Romney's hair is among his most presidential attributes, surely?
Mitt Romney seemed ludicrously upset by Time Magazine'sPerson of the Year choice. The celebration of the nice, or the celebration of success itself (David Petraeus was Mitt's choice), is best left to political ads - Time was marking achievement, albeit of a horrible, tarnished variety.
I would love to ask the Big Faith candidate about Nick Clegg, the newly elected leader of the British political party the Liberal Democrats, who told the BBC he does not believe in God! Talk show host Glenn Beck could lead the charge and the most Christian Mormon in the world would doubtless follow.
The BBC has had some trouble with People of the Year in the past (rigged polls and eccentric results) so I am going to stay properly silent - but you?
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Hello, I'm Justin Webb and I'm the BBC's North America editor.
My blog will be dominated, of course, by the US presidential election - but this is the world's most fascinating, open and complex place, so there's plenty for us to talk about...
An example: Glenn Neideigh who runs the 
This year in the lookahead programme, I predicted that John McCain would be 
The row in full swing here over whether 
I have 
Some kind correspondents have pointed out that this rather damaged the sense of the piece, at least for US readers!
Years ago, chatting to the congressman (who is a charming and warm man, one-to-one), he told me he would probably stand in 2008 but that, as he put it, "The job will go to someone with better hair!" 
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